Statistics Formulas and Concepts

This cheat sheet provides a concise summary of key formulas, concepts, and definitions from introductory statistics, covering data summarization, probability, distributions, inference, and regression.

Core Principles

  • Statistics is the science of collecting, organizing, summarizing, and analyzing information to draw conclusions and measure confidence.
  • Data vary, and understanding the sources of variability is a primary goal of statistics.
  • Descriptive statistics organize and summarize data, while inferential statistics extend sample results to populations.
  • A parameter summarizes a population, while a statistic summarizes a sample.
  • Understanding the shape, center, and spread of data distributions is crucial for appropriate analysis.
  • Hypothesis testing involves formulating null and alternative hypotheses and using sample data to assess their plausibility.

Formulas

  • $ \bar{x} = \frac{\sum x_i}{n} $
  • $ \sigma = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \mu)^2}{N}} $
  • $ s = \sqrt{\frac{\sum (x_i - \bar{x})^2}{n-1}} $
  • $ z = \frac{x - \mu}{\sigma} $
  • $ z = \frac{\bar{x} - \mu_0}{\sigma/\sqrt{n}} $
  • $ P(E) = \frac{\text{number of ways E can occur}}{\text{number of possible outcomes}} $
  • $ P(E \text{ or } F) = P(E) + P(F) $
  • $ P(E \text{ or } F) = P(E) + P(F) - P(E \text{ and } F) $
  • $ P(E^c) = 1 - P(E) $
  • $ P(E \text{ and } F) = P(E) \cdot P(F) $

Key Terms

  • Parameter: A numerical summary of a population.
  • Statistic: A numerical summary of a sample.
  • Population: The entire group of individuals to be studied.
  • Sample: A subset of the population that is being studied.
  • Random Sampling: The process of using chance to select individuals from a population to be included in the sample.
  • Observational Study: Measures variables without attempting to influence them.
  • Designed Experiment: Randomly assigns individuals to groups and manipulates an explanatory variable.
  • Confounding Variable: An explanatory variable whose effect cannot be separated from that of another explanatory variable.
  • Lurking Variable: An unconsidered variable that affects the response variable.
  • Type I Error: Rejecting a true null hypothesis.
  • Type II Error: Failing to reject a false null hypothesis.
  • P-value: The probability of observing a sample statistic as extreme or more extreme than the one observed, assuming the null hypothesis is true.
  • Confidence Interval: An interval estimate for a population parameter.
  • Least-Squares Regression Line: The line that minimizes the sum of squared residuals.
  • Correlation Coefficient (r): Measures the strength and direction of a linear relationship between two quantitative variables.
  • Coefficient of Determination (R^2): The proportion of the total variation in the response variable explained by the regression line.

Pitfalls to Avoid

  • Confusing correlation with causation.
  • Misinterpreting statistical significance as practical significance.
  • Drawing conclusions from data without considering lurking variables.
  • Using convenience samples instead of random samples.
  • Not checking assumptions for statistical tests (e.g., normality, independence).

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